Sofia Kenin vs Varvara Gracheva Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In the last 6 months, Kenin's second serve win rate is 40.34%, slightly outperforming Gracheva's 40.11%. Could this small edge impact the match's outcome?
• Gracheva shows strength in return games, capturing 50.9% of her opponent's second serve points, as opposed to Kenin's 46.86%.
• In handling first serve returns, Gracheva leads with 34.55% of points won, compared to Kenin's 28.88%, potentially offering her an advantage.
• Under pressure, Kenin has saved 54.75% of breakpoints, slightly higher than Gracheva's 49.87%, possibly impacting tight match scenarios.
• Kenin boasts a higher overall match win rate of 57.63% in the past year, compared to Gracheva's 52.46%.
• Evaluating surface performance, Kenin prefers Grass with a 60% win rate, while Gracheva excels on Clay with a 65% win rate.
• On the main tour, Kenin has a stronger record, winning 62.5% of her matches, while Gracheva has secured victories in 50%.
• Direct competition shows Kenin prevailing over Gracheva in their sole encounter, winning both sets, which occurred on clay at the French Open.
• Over the last year, Kenin has faced more challenging opponents, with an average rank of 73.66, compared to Gracheva's 124.11.
• Regarding break point success, Kenin holds a slight edge with a 39.35% conversion rate over Gracheva's 36.6%.

Editorial Prediction (August 10, 2025, UTC):

In their upcoming clash, Kenin and Gracheva bring contrasting strengths to the court. Kenin's slight edge in second serve performance and breakpoint saving ability signals a potential advantage in pivotal moments of the match.

Gracheva, however, demonstrates formidable prowess in return games, outmatching Kenin in both first and second serve return points. This could prove decisive, especially if she capitalizes on Kenin's serves effectively.

Kenin's experience against higher-ranked opponents and superior overall match win rate also testifies to her formidable competitive abilities. Meanwhile, Gracheva's success on clay showcases her adaptability on specific surfaces.

Given these dynamics, Kenin enters the match as the likely favorite, poised to extend her head-to-head dominance over Gracheva.